Great frame

I agree, the world keeps spinning. But also, were any of those wrong? No.

There weren't wrong, but we also can't ignore the benefits. Also, once the genie is out of the bottle there's no putting it back in.

Everyone I know IRL are dysfunctional humans because of everything you stated above.

Many may argue we are still a very long way from agi even though these llm company ceos might make you believe otherwise. In either case, there will always be a new technology we have to learn to leverage for fear of getting left behind.

The only antidote to that would be to stop seeking "progress" and be content with what we can do now, seeking to make our existence more sustainable.

I mean what's to stop us from just saying hey this is pretty good as it is and everyone seek to have a self-sustainable or community sustained existence.... na that prob won't happen....

I don't think people have a clue on AI let alone the idea of AGI. In this thread that's probably not true but for the masses it is. I wouldn't bet on AGI being a thing anything soon but the current set of algos and tools will be adopted and people will adapt. There will be good and bad result from it. The fear mongering is way off with AI.

Aren’t all those points partly true ? I believe they demonstrably are true in a human way we’ve lost a lot. The tools we create, create us. Read ‘the shallows’.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxYVKaOrMqs

Now do porn.

I’d argue it’s different, but only for those who deem AI correct all the time

I am not fully convinced yet, but I am leaning to the idea that #AGI is very overhyped and that #AI is just an enourmously powerful tool considering these points:

1) There is a massive incentive for big AI corporations to spread AGI fearporn. The population will beg for regulation, which enables the corporations to monopolise the market by creating hurdles for startups.

2) There is a masive incentive for govs to fearporn about AGI, it makes people live in fear and buy into new emergencies, opens the door for UBI and makes people see AI as 'superhuman' which makes manipulation easier.

3) AI as we know it (LLM's) are just super efficient prediction programs. There is no intelligence. I believe everyone who is comparing AI to human brains or IQ is overhyping. My calculator can also do 50 times more complicated math than me, but that doesn't mean that it's intelligent nor that it has a 5000+ IQ. Its just a super useful and powerful tool.

My two biggest fears about AI are that govs abuse it for mass surveillance (Palentir like stuff) and that an unemployment shock makes govs double down on socialism (UBI / even more QE).

This means that in a fiat world AI is pretty risky, while in a Bitcoinised world it will be probably very positive.

Conclusion: We need #Bitcoin mass adoption before AI really takes off. AI probably isn't the problem, (big) government is.

AGI would be fine as long you don't connect it to any type of real world systems like large broadcasting networks, civic infrastructure, or armed robots.

The doomers were right every single time 😄

- Our memory is worse than in oral cultures

- The world is spread with unfiltered ideas

- TV rote the boomer brain

- The internet destroyed our attention

- and young women...well...

Everything they predicted was true, some of their concerns were benevolent, some malevolent. But in each case the gains outweighed the costs.

Technology is an amplifier, a form of leverage at its base that gives people access to new options they didn't have before.

People can use the new options of technology to upgrade themselves, distract themselves, debase themselves, increase their intelligence and character, create new money, build new relationships.

It's what people decide to do with new technology that determines the outcomes, not the new technology itself.

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humans use tools, not the other way around

Actually: TV has rot our brains and the internet was the death of attention.

It seems that all of these predictions came true to some degree.