物价下跌和经济发展是不矛盾的,最好的例子就是西方工业革命期间经济高速持久发展,那时候是金本位。
Discussion
不是想冒犯你,不过我们不聊反乌托邦性质比较了吗?
金本位时间太短了,也没到全球化爆发性的经济规模阶段。放现代社会估计撑不了半天
你在开玩笑吗?全球法币化从尼克松让美元与黄金脱钩算起才几十年时间,之前人类几千年主要用贵金属做货币。
我瞄了一下wiki, 我理解是之前的经济发展太慢了,所以近代金本位/银本位/双本位几十年都不会出问题。
“According to a survey of 39 economists, the majority (93 percent) agreed that a return to the gold standard would not improve price-stability and employment outcomes,[11] and two-thirds of economic historians reject the idea that the gold standard "was effective in stabilizing prices and moderating business-cycle fluctuations during the nineteenth century."[12] Nonetheless, according to economist Michael D. Bordo, the gold standard has three benefits: "its record as a stable nominal anchor; its automaticity; and its role as a credible commitment mechanism.”
再之前的贵金属 我没考究,不过估计一个王朝的跌更更快。
说是几十年不出问题,不过金本位好像也有两三轮了吧。
The gold standard was the basis for the international monetary system from the 1870s to the early 1920s, and from the late 1920s to 1932 as well as from 1944 until 1971 when the United States unilaterally terminated convertibility of the US dollar to gold, effectively ending the Bretton Woods system.
我瞄了一下,1934年的金本位其实已经变过置换价格了,虽然是在一战影响下,不过其实脱锚不用等到60年代末
哦,我明白我们的点分歧在哪里了,虽然都是用金本位。不过是崩溃重来了几遍。之前的贵金属没研究,不过朝代提更肯定也要重新锚定很多遍。
在我们讨论的BTC货币化环境里,像1934年重新定价已经算失败了。还是说要搞一个分别于BTC,根据情况通胀的货币。那样当然很可行