okay perhaps too optimistic 🙂
Discussion
I calculated the percentage change of winning a block solo mining here:
https://habla.news/u/mhardcastle@nostrplebs.com/1725912959496
I warn you now, it's not good 😂
I'm not sure about your numbers. I'm not smart enough to know these things off the top of my head, but it looks like your conversion from EH/s to H/s is off by a lot of zeros. According to a couple of hashrate converters, the current 581 EH/s is 581,000,000,000,000,000,000 H/s. Six commas vs the 18 you used. Am I missing something? I'm probably wrong.
To be fair, the odds are still shit even when compared to winning the jackpot in a lottery. My math shows that currently with a single 625 GH/s Bitaxe and 580 EH/s network hashrate, odds are something around 1 in 928,000,000.