It’s possible that as much as 20% of all bitcoin is irrecoverably lost.

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"Lost coins only make everyone else's coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone."

- Satoshi Nakamoto

That’s not really true though.

It's a fun quote though, lol. Market price is always at the margin, but lost coins does reduce the available supply. It's not an issue right now since there's plenty of supply on exchanges for people to buy.

I think it’s likely, and that 20% is low. In the early days there was a lot of careless loss. I lost my password at one point and had to pay some dude called BitcoinDave 15% of my holdings to recover it. He was successful, and true to his word returned 85%. What was the 15% worth at the peak? Yeah. He’s not worrying about money. This was 2010. Anyway, I digress. I think the current valuation is grossly underestimating the total supply.