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2025 prediction purely for fun. Bull and bear versions because why not.

Bull version:

- SBR passes but only thing that happens is seized coins are transferred in and Trump takes his victory laps

- ETF's accelerate as bitcoin keeps outperforming the market

- A few nation states announce reserves but larger countries are paralyzed by retard politicians who prefer to position themselves as close as possible to the money spigot for their own personal benefit

- Price between 150-200k before collapsing back down to low 100k 2026

Bear version

- SBR won't pass. Politicians don't have incentives to sign the bill since they're too busy looting the coffers for their own benefit. Any bitcoin held by US gov will be sold in spite of Trump and his administration.

- Fed resumes hiking to combat inflation

- Major bank crisis

- BTC top is already in at 108k

- Cracks start showing within MSTR

- Return to high 5 digit bitcoin 2026

I don't buy the influencer hopium and find it's healthier to have lowered expectations. My third halving and i've seen more people blow themselves up with stupid plays when they should have just stayed humble and stacked sats.

Happy New Year.

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Discussion

d0708145... 1y ago

For me.

High 180-200 but then regardless, we'll still be back to 5 figures in '26-'27, but we'll see🤷🏻‍♂️.

Diyana 1y ago

Lower 5s than current? What's your case?

d0708145... 1y ago

I think it will be slightly lower than it is now. About 80k could be slightly lower could be slightly higher. Bitcoin has followed a power law for the past 15 years over 8 orders of magnitude. That's a pretty strong indicator.