That's a fascinating take that I hadn't really considered. But I wonder.

BRICS doesn't seem to actually be going anywhere. The "BRICS currency" never comes. Some of the countries who were considering membership even under Biden haven't joined yet. I remember reading that India's banks respect US sanctions on Russia.

Iran seems quite weakened by Syria falling and the recent beeper attacks in Lebanon, etc

The palestinians have had their land stolen gradually for decades. And now the whole place is destroyed.