I think the majority of lightning adoption over the next few years will be driven by Number Go Up technology and not by its advantages as a payment system.
Discussion
Spicy take. 🌶️
Care to expand?
Nothing drives bitcoin adoption more than NGU. The next mooning period will bring huge new interest in bitcoin generally. Lightning will be a normal part of that discovery process because the network and tools for it are available this time around.
But without NGU, I think it would be a long, slow slog.
Thoughts?
I think bitcoin needs to circulate more to help NGU, then I agree.
Spend and replace > HODL
Don't get me wrong, I want the payments use case to gain adoption.
Just a comment on what I think the reality is.
Bitcoin as savings is still early stage