In the context of #Russia Peskov refusing to comment, here’s a convenient reminder about the typical cycle of Kremlin strategic communications:

“there’s no evidence”

“okay maybe there’s evidence, but these are not our drones”

“okay maybe these are our drones but they were not heading to Poland, Ukrainian jamming diverted them”

“okay maybe they were our drones heading to Poland but they were unarmed”

“okay maybe they were unarmed but it was a honest mistake”

“we have never hidden that these were our drones, armed and heading to Poland, which we consider a legitimate target”

We’re now at 1. Stages 2-5 usually take several weeks or months. The above scenarios we’ve seen hundreds of times - during annexation of Crimea, during war in Donbas, during MH17 shoot down, during Russian bombing of civilian targets etc.