Let's say through some magical insight you know that introducing a very useful (scaling-related) change in Bitcoin would have a 0.5% chance of killing it.
How do you know that the chance of Bitcoin dying is not > 0.5% if we didn't make that change at all?
PS: you don't 😘
Anyone who gives you a percentage chance of bitcoin doing anything at all is full of shit. 😉
You don’t know.
You also don’t know the true upside of implementing a change designed to improve scaling (might not be as high as anticipated).
That’s why over-caution is required.
It would be different if Bitcoin didn’t already work well but it does.
If it didn’t, the urge to timer would be much larger - like it is with mETH.
I don't know but look...
Complex open systems are tough to predict the costs and benefits, bc no one knows the costs and benefits … antifragility, adaptability
You said I have magical insight, so I'll use my magical insight again...
