Test. I'm playing with some shit today.

Humans default to binary thinking (success/failure), but top performers weigh decisions as probability distributions. For instance, a 40% chance of a $1M outcome might be better than a 90% chance of $100K. Most underestimate asymmetric risk: low-probability, high-impact opportunities (like startups) often have better expected value than “safe” paths. Yet 89% of professionals avoid probabilistic bets due to loss aversion.