Price doesn’t matter but I’m feeling bullish AF.
240K in 2024, that’s my guess.
Anyone want to bet a few thousand sats?
Discussion
nostr:npub16r0tl8a39hhcrapa03559xahsjqj4s0y6t2n5gpdk64v06jtgekqdkz5pl might be in for it.
I’ve got an active 100k sat bet that price will be 30k or more at end of this year.
Compared to the one I setup this a much easier one. I would even go to 1M sats
That’s a lot of sats to bet
Thats a lot of dollars for a bitcoin you are claiming
Meaning if it’s 239K and I lose the bet, that’s a brand new MacBook M3 Pro I’m buying you 😂
Then again, as a share of total wealth at that point…. Nah a million sats is a million f’ing sats. Haha can’t do it.
Make your bid then
I’ll offer the same bet value that I settled on with nostr:npub1jyyvkq8wgvwvpncdunu2cn93fweutwh6ykny2zevew0e24q5w3xqhe388g
25K sats
He made a low bet and we found the middle to determine winner. I’m happy to say I only win if we see 240K (with a reasonable rounding error by exchange of a couple hundred bucks) anytime in the 2024 calendar year. But lmk if you have anything else you’d like to modify 🤙
I think 125K tops
Would be willing to bet 25K sats on this
I’d take this bet!
Clarification — does that mean anything over 125K and I win?
Or does it need to be closer to 240K than 125K (ie anything above 182.5K is me)?
Sweet!!⚡️
I thought about the second option, anything higher than $182.5K the sats are yours, anything under and they are mine
Also, think we need to establish the exact date of measurement.
31/12/2024 at year end sounds like a great time for one of us receiving a new year gift
And lastly, do you want to create an ‘exit’ option on say 1/1/2024 for either of us with a half bet fine? I don’t but it could be a nice option
If those terms sound good to you, I say lets shake on it :)
Love it. Agree with the 182.5K cutoff, and the end of the year.
Also, technically we should have a time. Would 12pm Noon EST be cool with you? (Not sure where you’re located but I’ll hopefully be busy at midnight on NYE lol)
Sure throw the exit option in there. Not sure we’ll care yet lol. I’m gonna go put 25K sats away somewhere right now, so I can say “that cost me about $30” if I lose 😉
Also 🤝
🤝
Fun!
I’ll bookmark this thread and maybe save the note ID somewhere for good measure.
Last bear low to bull high was a 20x jump, cycle before that was 130x. It’s pretty widely understood that SBF manipulated supply which suppressed fiat/btc price from going higher.
So let’s just take supply metrics and say our bear low was 17k a coin, if there is another SBF suppressing supply and we only see a 20x jump from supply shock again, we get a meager 340k a coin.
Now let’s take demand metrics, bitcoin ETF in the works, 12,000% jump in lightning usage, nostr zaps, fiat on fire, etc, and you might see more then a 20x jump due to demand even if supply is artificially suppressed.
Can’t wait to find out, my two stats.
🤜🤛