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Replying to Avatar bitcoinlimit

Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price:

2012 → 2024 overall factor: 4.3 ÷ 50,616 ≈ 0.000085

Over 12 intervals, that’s a yearly multiplier of √12 ≈ 0.46

i.e. on avg, each year it’s about 46% of the prior year (a 54% drop).

So if we mechanically continue that same avg shrinkage (× 0.46/year) from 2024 onward:

2024: 4.3 BTC

2025: 4.3 × 0.46 ≈ 2.0 BTC

2026: 2.0 × 0.46 ≈ 0.92 BTC

2027: 0.92 × 0.46 ≈ 0.42 BTC

2028: 0.42 × 0.46 ≈ 0.19 BTC

2029: 0.19 × 0.46 ≈ 0.087 BTC

2030: 0.087 × 0.46 ≈ 0.040 BTC

I know this looks and sounds crazy but hey, that's what the historic data says.

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Earnest Holden 1y ago

This is the type math everyone should be doing.

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