Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

NYT ran a story about The Fourth Turning.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/08/style/fourth-turning-pop-culture.html

Basically, the book came along in the 1990s and said there would be a big crisis in the late 2000s, and then the 2010s-2020s would have a lot of similarities to the 1930s and 1940s for various qualitative/generational/cyclical reasons.

Normally I'm not really into that sort of qualitative/cyclical analysis, but when I'm sitting around making all sorts of quantitative charts that turn out like this:

Then I'm like:

I first heard this theory about 15 years ago. Just early enough for me to still be dismissive.

I already consider it confirmed now. Just a question of how severe the correction will be.

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