I think it is too early on nostr adoption to think about it in anything less than a 5 year plan (maybe thats too bearish), but that 5 year plan has MASSIVE upside.

I just mean that nostr probably wont change your life (like bitcoin) for a little while, but the risk reward is insane

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Agreed, but I'm curious to see what the second order effects of NGU will do to nostr. That could accelerate to adoption process along with other use cases being added on a monthly basis.