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Replying to Avatar Casey R

I've been doing some analysis regarding the earliest date at which quantum computers may pose a legitimate threat to #bitcoin.

(Of course, when they pose a threat to bitcoin, they will also pose a threat to, basically, the entire internet!)

Looking at current growth in quantum computing power (measured in number of "qubits") we can see it's following an exponential curve...

If we assume 20M qubits (with decent error correction) are needed to break modern cryptography and extrapolate the rate of progression, we get to 2041 (17 years from now) as the earliest date at which a quantum computer could crack a bitcoin address.

Full video on this to follow soon!

#quantumcomputing #bitcoin

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The_Justifyer 1y ago

Have you considered the exponential susceptibility to errors and the availability of quantum-safe addresses?

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