The only thing that matters in a fork is where the economic majority goes. And it’s consistently been one way.
Discussion
So if that market was live for 1 hour and there were two trades that showed a 7% chance, would that be sufficient evidence to prove your hypothesis? Do you see my larger point? It’s been live for ~26 hours now. I’m not even I’m a BIP444 Stan, idk shit about fuck, but just saying that moving forward, maybe let markets like this play out for a little longer in time and volume before claiming categorical victory for your hypothesis.