Fed policy is perturbing all markets, but especially the real estate market. @ktlannan
breaks down what he's seeing in the world of real estate development, how rapidly rising rates affects real estate, anecdotes of shrinkflation, bitcoin urbanism, and more.
Very high signal and high T rip.
In my community houses have generally not even hit the MLS before being sold, and this was even in 2011. I am now seeing 4-5 houses sit for a few weeks with no activity. Certainly a new dynamic.
We had houses sell super fast here, and more than they should. We have a really nice one thats been trying to sell for 9 months, starting to think no one is buying anymore. real estate market is dead
Housing slow down is probably the canary in the coal mine for the larger downturn, if people aren’t moving around they don’t spend money, companies make less money, they start laying people off and then there is a chain reaction.
The FED will then react with whiplash and lower rates to stop the carnage.
Yes and it takes time after the fed makes a move for that ripple to have an impact on the greater economy. So in a way the fed is looking in the rear view mirror. The dynamics of the economy have changed as well, we have strong job growth but people are poorer than ever getting a 2nd job or working the gig economy to get by.
Perhaps the worst part is the fed will never criticize the us gov for spending too much but has no problem putting that blame on the little guy.
🤙 truth
Great pod. Sending some zaps your way
Great episode again!
