No, not everywhere, and not at the same rate.

Nigeria is holding up well. College-educated Nigerian women self-report wanting 20 children (modal response).

Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh are similar, while West Bengal and Tamil Nadu have been below replacement for decades.

Religious observance is highly correlated with birth rates, as are stable (if often terrible) levels of inequality.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Excellent points. Global data is one thing. But the details of why nations, states and sometimes regions have so different numbers tell often much more about the real causes in various periods of time.