This is not particularly an issue which concerns only white people and has not much to do with a great replacement theory. It's just a fact that births are declining world wide for various reasons.
"Globally, the total fertility rate was 2.3 children per woman in 2023. This is much lower than in the past; in the 1950s, it was more than twice as high: 4.9."
No, not everywhere, and not at the same rate.
Nigeria is holding up well. College-educated Nigerian women self-report wanting 20 children (modal response).
Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh are similar, while West Bengal and Tamil Nadu have been below replacement for decades.
Religious observance is highly correlated with birth rates, as are stable (if often terrible) levels of inequality.
Excellent points. Global data is one thing. But the details of why nations, states and sometimes regions have so different numbers tell often much more about the real causes in various periods of time.
The "boomer" generation was a baby boom era, things are just reverting back to the mean.
In the English-speaking world, the 50s and early 60s were a boom in many ways - babies, economic growth, workers' share of national income, confidence in the future. The former USSR had something very similar, despite its very different system.
The last time the birth rates were this low was the Great Depression, and I suspect this is no accident.
We are also witnessing the collapse of our civilization, all the signs are there -massive money printing, corruption, decadence, invasion from outsiders etc. The baton will be passed to China.
Facts.
Although China has its problems (same as the first three of ours).
It may drop the baton on its foot soon after we pass it.
We've never seen a civilisational "dropped baton" on a global scale before. Historical merely-regional de-complexifications were pretty horrific.
The Chinese will not even take the baton. They're too experienced over hundreds or even thousands of fears not to fall in this "trap".
Well, I mostly mean that China is where the wealth will massively accumulate regardless.
Yes. Without any doubt.
Maybe.
Chinese history is a series of expansion and centralisation, inward-looking despotism, violent and pitious collapse, and then stabilisation for a time at lower levels of complexity and centralisation.
They've ridden this train a few times, but there are always leaders sure they can get off before the final stop.
Agreed. It will be very interesting to see how they'll adjust to this new reality in the long-term.
The difference is that the western countries are experiencing mass migration. Thatβs the replacement part.
