"Confirmation bias" is a psyop to make you gaslight yourself. Your biases don't come from nowhere, they are in fact a product of your deepest held beliefs. That doesn't make them true, and they should be challenged, but beware people who try to alienate your from your own mind.
Discussion
Same goes for echo chamber. The underlying assumption is that those you surround yourself with who hold these same biases are inherently wrong.
Same thing with survivorship bias. Sure everyone successful has unique experiences that he|p lead to success - but its all about taxis of meaning. You're in a swampy space trying to move to a goal, some places are more swampy blocking you from reaching your goal. You either swim through or swim around. If you maneuver well enough, changing your local goals as you face different obsticles, you will continually get closer to maximal meaning. Key point, maximal meaning is not a place, but a long term direction, but locally you imagine it as a place.
I spend far too much if my time worrying about how "the age of abundance" will skew that.
Could you elaborate? Like define and then explain how it will skew
The clearest path to finding meaning & understanding that meaning isn't a destination is by overcoming adversity.
With less of the regular struggles of life, it just seems like it could turn into an epidemic of survivorship bias. Since the distance between levels in "leveling up" would become wider, harder to achieve.
I think about the paper "How Learning Guides Evolution". A seminal paper in AI and evolution. Some background info that I hope doesn't muddy up the original topic. The idea is that you have a complex 'fitness landscape' with various hills, and you have agents that are initialized in various locations of this landscape through their genetics and use "learning" to climb up these hills during their lifetime. Learning uses local information to climb up hills and reach the maximum fitness, but they can only do so within a lifetime. The idea is that learning helps you find the trajectory given your starting point but is forgotten after death, and that evolution converges on selecting the agents that have learned and climbed the most, because they started in positions best suited for climbing. What happens collectively, is that the population over generations collectively climbs higher and higher because of this selection criteria.
How this relates is that all individuals collectively move to better situations over time over generations. In practice, is the divide getting larger between populations at the top of the hill and those near the bottom? Sure, but we are all going through the same process of hill climbing. What is the goal? Meaning maximization, we use sub goals to get there to help us frame where we want to go "Be successful", "have a family", "Become a teacher", "be the next Steve Jobs". These goals of success are all in service of meaning maximization. The starting conditions for everyone are different, but so are the end goals because whatever it looks like will be different due to the individuals path, experience and the needs of the end situation. Regardless, we collectively try to move in that direction because we see it as a "better situation than now".
So, just to sum up - we try to define end goals (like success), but they are always in service of meaning maximization. If you know the direction for meaning maximization, it doesn't matter how exact the end goal is like "Be the next Steve Jobs" because it will always be different, but if you are maximizing your meaning it really doesn't matter because what you are doing will be the most meaningful for you. Hope I didn't get too off track 😅
as someone with too much memory and pattern recognition, i struggle at times with self doubt, but i'm rock steady on a whole heap of basic axioms and premises, and i haven't even hardly had to polish them, it has made me lazy maybe
the average person with everything between 75-125 IQ hasn't got a hope of thinking their way out of the corrupted mind viruses going around these days
the retard/genius bell curve meme is accurate, retards know they don't know, so they just don't even bother trying to do the equations, and the smart people know they know, and know that everyone else is being bamboozled
but even still, i only just awoke to the fact that my mind was polluted with all kinds of stuff that made me into a host for all kinds of parasites in my life, and the worst is not being gaslit so much as being made to feel in debt, when i owe nothing to these scum
Status quo bias and cognitive dissonance are the real enemies of the good.
I always think about this. There is truly something about people that had never examined a question by themselves or changed their opinion about anything on their own (journalists) but then go around telling anything that disagrees with them that they have confirmation bias. Or maybe I don't know what confirmation bias is.
Telling someone they have confirmation bias is usually an informally fallacious way to get them to adopt your bias
me: "I think XYZ is good/bad"
person: "you're biased"
me: "Yes I am. And?"
person: "You might be wrong"
me: "Until you or someone else challenges me on this and reasonably convince me to reach a different conclusion, I will continue to see it as good/bad"
Yeah, and that is what blew my mind about Lowery's approach to studying Bitcoin, in Softwar: using grounded theory to overcome things like confirmation bias. Brilliant.