The Bank Secrecy Act requires existing actors to file around 27.5 million reports a year. Even if requiring stablecoin issuers to do similar reporting doubled the number of reports, then that's still a fraction of the 200 billion digital transactions Americans make each year.

I don't like either scenario. But that's a big difference in terms of state surveillance.

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At best it's just reducing number of private banks, isn't it?

less competition, easier to control.

backed by cbdc instead of $ in the future.

Yes, there is the risk of CBDCs speeding up bank consolidation. While not directly on CBDCs, I wrote about how the Federal Reserve has been contributing to bank consolidation since its inception in this article.

https://www.cato.org/publications/reforming-federal-reserve-part-3-a-glance-at-interventions-in-payment-services