Yeah, I mean that. I am all for Ukraine winning but at this point I think it would quickly go south.
Discussion
This isn’t the Olympics — it's not like Ukraine can "win". In this situation, even in the best-case scenario, Ukraine remains a satellite of either NATO or Russian Federation (or whatever might take RF’s place). In the worst-case scenario, it breaks apart into regions that continue fighting each other for decades.
Unfortunately the worst case scenario is nuclear war actually.
A full-scale nuclear war is hard to imagine because of Ukraine. But provocations and incidents can't be ruled out. These could include accidents at Soviet nuclear power plants, the use of a dirty bomb, or even tactical nuclear weapons.
Hard to imagine - yes.
But unfortunately still possible, it takes just mistake or one gamble or something like that ...
Russia, like the Soviet Union, treats the use of nuclear weapons with a fair degree of responsibility. I can’t recall a single case where they used them against human targets. And the conflict in Ukraine is still largely a PR-driven affair — it’s less significant than it seems, even within Russia, let alone in Europe.
I do agree to a some point. But as I said, it can be mistake or whatever. Risk is still there.