True enough re China, not so sure about your depiction of the contemporary West.
Relatively predictable for us only if we grew up here and if we keep fingers on the pulse. (Who honestly foresaw "sexual orientation" and "gender equality" getting cancelled and replaced?). The West today is intensely ideologically-driven, and governed capriciously and elitely.
If you're NOT building your business in a legally grey area, the ceiling is pretty low thanks to cronyism and regulation.
American milage may very, at least for some states...