Oddly, one of the biggest drivers of NAV closer to 1 could be a sustained rapid rise in BTC, say to $1m - which might hugely constrain their ability to generate as much btc yield relative to the btc they hold. However in that case, shareholders would probably still sleep at night!

Compression of NAV to 1 is a big deal. It means ATM can’t be completed accretively. However, it doesn’t mean CBs can’t be issued (volatility will remain). Have you ever come across any good research which tries to estimate what a sensible NAV premium should be? Anything we can learn from long term P/E multiple in tradfi markets?

In case you haven’t seen these mNAV trend charts.