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Some guesses for 2026:

1. The Federal Reserve will lower the fed funds rate below 3.5%...

2. Which will spur economic growth and inflation...

3. Which will cause the long end of the Treasury yield curve to rise towards and above 5%...

4. Which will be unacceptable to Wall Street and the current administration...

5. Which will induce the Fed to begin yield curve control...

6. Which will cause material weakness in the US dollar...

7. Which will lead to further currency debasement...

8. Which will become fodder for large increases and volatility across risk assets.

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Vipassana Charlie 3w ago

Yield curve control in 2026? I’ve been following Darius Dale’s research which doesn’t have durable yield curve control coming until 2029. I could live with 2026 😎

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