nostr:note1etkv8tm8r3trhn664pf84ns08pkwwrp0xz9uzk7estuyq2vdx6as0796th

Unrelated, but maybe not so much:

Remember that the US managed to break the Soviet Union through a 30 year long arms race. In reality, since they went off gold and turned on the infinite fiat printer, the Soviet Union lasted less than 20 years.

Current US public debt: 118.58% of GDP

- Total debt: 257% of GDP

Current PRC public debt (even with fake statistics from the CCP): 90% of GDP

- Total debt: 280% of GDP

Total debt is probably the better measurement for China, since there is no such thing as a "private sector". Companies like Evergrande are fake "private enterprises" acting as vehicles for the CCP and the PRC government, in the end.

And where is all that cash going?

"Chinese-characteristics" colonialism in Africa and Latin America, massive upgrades of the PLA, especially the navy, massive deployment of surveillance state within China and related terrorist activities abroad, increbidbly hyperinflated real estate and stock bubbles (as sole outlets for investment in a completely unfree market under central planning by a totalitarian regime)...

In sum, looks like another arms race with the US.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Love to see that you’re bringing up the Soviet Union and agree that America “won” in a very large part by burying the Soviets in debt via the arms race.

Also agree that debt in China is at very unsustainable levels. Great to see someone else looking to work some numbers. Thank you!!!

Where I would differ with your analysis is that back in the 80s America had a more workable fiscal position. Not anywhere close today. I’m also of the mind that China recognises that there’s a debt issue and is actually trying to address that issue. I have no idea if it will work, but action is being taken.

America, on the other hand, continues to ignore that there’s even a problem and it worsens each and every day.

The real question is which falls first. China or America? We might not need to wait much longer to find out.

I didn't mean to imply that the US is winning this one, actually.

Ah, wasn’t completely sure of your overall theme. Still, loved that you threw out some ideas.