the biggest problem with what the ukrainians did with their attacks deep inside russia is that they just essentially declared that all things that look civillian are now potentially military

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-06-03/its-worse-you-think

not only that, the russians can give this to whichever allied or friendly maniacs they want to, and these things chug along on a tanker, get loaded onto a truck, go to the destination, and then the operators turn up and bob's your uncle

the mistake of this move is going to be that now russia is going to say, "ok, if you want to be perfidious, let's see what happens when this kind of stuff gets into the hands of angry ethnic russian moldovans and poles who aren't happy about poking the bear, and latvia and estonia, also quite good launching points, for that matter, there is two major ports in the black sea in romania and bulgaria (make that 3 in bulgaria) and then there is georgia and armenia and turkey, a country kinda famous for it's international trade

if you are in a fight, and your opponent uses subterfuge on you, are you in your right mind when you don't use subterfuge back?

it's an escalation alright, but one that is gonna pan out really bad when ukrainian data centers get torched, key transit train and road bridges across the dnieper get cut without being anywhere near russians. and, oh dear, it seems that it was bulgarians that did it. or turks. or even some french dudes who hate brussels.