For your reference:

This is the 100-year chart of the S&P 500 in #gold terms that I allude to in my recent interview with nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgq73kpcjhhrptf9gnd9qksu3k2nxr09tusez8ltmk8z9x4h6wdavuwmfgqg

This "30,000 foot view" of the secular peaks and troughs of US asset financialization is incredibly telling... and critical to grasp.

History does not repeat... but it does rhyme.

Based on this chart, I think the closest correlate with where we are in the current cycle is approximately 4Q 1972.

Question:

If, in 4Q 1972, you could invest for the ensuing 10 years in either:

- US financial assets (including stocks, bonds, and real estate)

OR

- International equities and hard assets (including bitcoin and gold)

...which would you choose?

I'm not telling anyone what to do. But I am encouraging you to consider where we are--economically-speaking--and, importantly, where we are headed.

Onward and upward.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpduedsvruqmd7fuq99zmszaaezct7kt3ke3p4p4lx45uxvs30uraqyt8wumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgtcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7qgnwaehxw309ahkvenrdpskjm3wwp6kytcqyr3d7nm7xza893e2hn0xezhu93vwgv3mdgsyskdfgq6j33jqhq27c52h4uk

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Discussion

Welcome back Dr Jeff, always hard hitting truth and the quality alpha we all need to stick with and add more #bitcoin exposure!

🤝

Gm Jeff. I'm new here

Happy weekend

🤝

Thanks Jeff

Good rip Jeff

🍻

Is there easy ways to invest in emerging markets ? Normal people don't necessarly have the time and expertise and volume to go dig in some backwards country.

Two popular ETFs are VWO and EEM.

Nice work. I did a little summary vid on the spx/gold chart

https://youtu.be/mHxoIJ9Vzc8

Nice work!

Thank you

😳🥵🤔

So volatile 🫣

So invest in a global asset, not US… do you listen to Jack Mallers YouTube? Basically the same thing, US equities have been bought by foreign entities, we told em go screw.

Made this chart recently. Also, a 30,000 foot type of view. (USD on the y-axis.) What I find crazy is that before 1940, for about 60 years, the S&P500 and CSHPNI had no larger growth than about x1.1 every 5 years. We live in a different era.

Do you think SPX goes down in nominal terms too?

When I see a Dr Jeff post it gives me the same feeling as checking the bitcoin price and it's just pumped 5%, lol.

Legend

Doc listening to this again closely.

This is the best interview you've done yet.

Pretty succinct & all encompassing.