My game theory for the usa (which they will insist other countries to follow)
1. All wallets, mixers, etc become unlicensed financial centers and must shut down or have the gov wipe them out.
2. Only an approved cbdc regulated full KYC gov regulated wallet will be allowed.
3. ETFs are approved. You can buy into their etf but that is a bunch of garbage.
4. Self custody is illegal. They use scary words like terrorist, etc.
5. Bitcoin with such an open blockchain is challenging to keep private.
6. ISP’s are always on the hunt for P2P transactions as they are instructed to and held liable by the government.
7. Phone companies know if a p2p transaction takes place. They report to the gov.