I'm sorry, but I don't think a poll where Biden has 49% and Trump has 46% is "good news for Democrats"

Especially when a significant portion of those who supported Biden in such a poll aren't thrilled about it.

Further likely fewer than 60% of eligible voters will even vote. There are a lot of people alienated from and apathetic towards the political landscape despite many dramatic events and high-stakes issues.

It's a difficult topic because it can't be reduced to a single reason.

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More conservative people say that Biden is too far left.

More left leaning people say he's too far right.

Optics junkies say it's about how he presents himself and other "soft" factors.

Me? I wonder why Democrats aren't more focused on increasing suffrage. Finding out why non-voters are non-voters and addressing those issues with patience and respect.

Like in 2008.

We should have at least 75% percent on presidential years. Voter suppression isn't helping but there's another side to this.

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Malign influence campaigns encourage feelings of futility, impotence, disaffection, indifference, venality, self-absorption, and distraction.

Disinformation is funded to encourage disengagement.

Books by Timothy Snyder and Masha Gessen describe how Putin achieved his despotic rule through disinformation campaigns encouraging a distracted & disinterested electorate.

The same has been achieved in most democracies.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/02/19/knight-nonvoter-study-decoding-2020-election-wild-card-115796

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_apathy