exeept all that is visible to the routing nodes.

keep up on your research bro

https://lightningprivacy.com/en/routing-analysis

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do you know that payments are onion based

read the fucking article

yeah my argue is that the data that could be derived is all peobabalystic nonsense. and even if you could there's NO PRIVATE IRL DATA LEAKED

There is no way to evaluate as an end user what path your payment might take or what data might be leaking

And if most payments are passing through a few centralized nodes it stops being probabilistic analysis *extremely quickly

Saying "Ln is a privacy layer" is an aspirational statement and not based on fact

cope.

I hate to break it to you but there's no better way to move bitcoin non custodial if you value privacy than lightning. IF there is a better way, please let me know.

Unfortunately I'm afraid you are correct

I just wish bitcoiners would start expecting more and not try and sell half-baked solutions as privacy layers

I fully expect blinded paths and BOLT12 to be the lightning standard across all implementations this year. This will vastly improve receive privacy over BOLT11. Phoenix already does this. As for on chain footprints, taproot is already proving to be great at obfuscating on chain events. And as for using probes and pinning to attempt to see how much liquidity are in channels, I think that may always exist HOWEVER that is not a big deal in my opinion. Lastly, there are hundreds of well connected routing nodes on the network, so big nodes don't seem scary to me. Further, you can always choose to avoid nodes when you make a payment if you want to. I will leave it there.

yeah and when all that is implemented, debugged, stress tested etc for a few years

maybe it'll be worthy of being called a "privacy layer"

but we've been hearing that LN is going to solve the privacy problem for years already

and it doesn't yet.

so knock it off with the Coming Soon™ shit

it solves it if you use it to solve it