There are 333 million people in the US. Some subset of them will break with civility and lawful behavior for the sake of democracy. I don't know how many. I'm making my prediction based on the reasonableness of the position -- in 2020 the reasonableness of committing insurrection was pretty low -- sure the vote *might* have been rigged, but nobody has a smoking gun. But the reasonableness of committing insurrection when courts are claiming things that are factual nonsense and whose judgements directly deny democracy to the people is much higher. The moral case for defending your constitution is much stronger than in 2020.