"AI represents a truly major, transformational technological advance... Hardly anyone you know, including yourself, is prepared to live in actual “moving” history. It will panic many of us, disorient the rest of us, and cause great upheavals in our fortunes, both good and bad. In my view the good will considerably outweigh the bad,.. but I do understand that the absolute quantity of the bad disruptions will be high."

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/03/existential-risk-and-the-turn-in-human-history.html

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How can it be more good if distribution of bad is high? Is that not an oxymoron?

The absolute quantity of bad disruption will be high, but the good will outweigh it.

Like, 10kg of gold is heavy, but 11 is heavier.

It’s a nice thought. At least people are hopeful

"Radical agnosticism is the correct response, where ALL specific scenarios are pretty unlikely."

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