The numbers aren't about what current users choose—they're about adoption and retention. For at least a year now, new users who've bothered to learn how to set up accounts and verify their npubs have trended toward zero retention within 30 days. Nostr still has a significant retention problem.
Discussion
I see nostr as a 10 year experiment. It will take that to challenge, adapt, shift and renew. Much room to grow. If we fail then, we can always have the memories to hang onto.