> would you bet that most of them will be onboarded by the cypherpunk clients or with the Primal-likes?

I see where you're going with that, but I would go further, sadly... I don't even think the Primal-likes are enough to attract the normie at the moment. Their brains are too fucking cooked with megacorp social media garbage and they are frogs-in-boiling-water wrt realizing how dangerous their situation is.

I don't talk about this much.. but I think the most durable - and unfortunately very, very slow - adoption curve is community-specific software (sure, social feeds, but also "Other Stuff" apps that achieve local goals) that serves hyper-local needs, at low-cost, low friction, and while preserving sovereignty (ie. "why should we host our town message board with Zuck or Elon? and while we're at it, lets include community payments and a job board for local babysitters, I can just fork this repo and point it at our relays...!"). That will have to bake-in for a while, and then one day these communities will realize they can actually opt to "federate" with other communities who are doing something slightly similar; communicate and make payments across communities without permission or restriction, etc.

Depending on what else is going on in the world at that moment, eyes may finally open.

Simply: what normie X user is going to switch off of X for something even 100x prettier than Primal?