I think they always will exist. The other alternative is an authorization orgy

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Both will exist, wild west nostr, and auth nostr

I'd be happy if open relays do continue to exist. But that means overuse abuse doesn't happen, which I don't think we should rely upon. We should be ready for intense DoS and make sure we can survive it, and IMHO there is no way I can see to keep relays open if that happens.

How did IRC happen? NNTP? How is this all that different?

We can mitigate a lot on the relays. Even Usenet lasted awhile before it went to all paid services. And they didn't have a web of trust model.

yes

Not necessarily, I think abuse will be something, but I also think we can have quite interesting anti-spam techniques Ip rate limiting, WoT, different policies for kick or ban... I think that the public nature of nostr is something that works in favor of relay operators, there is a lot of data to be able to use and combat bad actors

yes