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“The 2030s and 2040s could be golden if we navigate this Crisis successfully. Imagine fusion finally working, providing unlimited clean energy. Imagine AI eliminating drudgery while humans focus on creativity. Imagine biotech defeating aging, adding healthy decades to life. Imagine space colonies opening infinite resources. Imagine governance that actually represents people. Imagine money that can’t be debased. It’s all possible—if we survive.”

Very thought provoking article

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/deep-fourth-turning-darkest-hours-are-dawn

Jake Woodhouse 1mo ago

As a migrant to Australia and now citizen here, I am not very familiar with the geo-politics historically

But one things for sure: I didn’t move to be part of China

Interesting to think through the 4th Turning, the fall of the US as a possibility, Taiwan being invaded, and China looking at controlling more landmass in their “territory”

Billions of dollars of resources in Australia would be more than tempting I am sure

(In many ways the Chinese infrastructure investment in Australia is already a form of invasion - and much more their style of power projection)

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Discussion

Kudzai Kutukwa 1mo ago

What I can never seem to wrap my head around is why all of the resources of Aus need Chinese investments in the first place, we are talking investments large enough to sway political opinion. Is the Aus gvt that desperate for cash or the local investment community don’t see the benefits of investing locally?

Jake Woodhouse 1mo ago

To my mind, it’s not that they “need” Chinese investment per say, it’s that China is the buyer

I used to work as a shipbroker, and would be the middle man between dry cargo commodity sellers and Asian markets

Iron ore in particular is massive. And most of it goes to China. The mines sell off take agreements eg so the Chinese factories come looking for raw materials and lock in long term supply contracts

Fascinating space actually. Literally at the coal face of global manufacturing

Kudzai Kutukwa 1mo ago

That makes perfect sense, so it’s more like their biggest customer has slowly gained leverage over a strategic part of the economy given how mining is a significant industry over there.

Jake Woodhouse 1mo ago

Correct

In a very simple sense, yes

I am sure there’s lots of details I am skimming over!

Kudzai Kutukwa 1mo ago

Definitely there could be more details absent in that simplistic analysis but it at least paints an overall picture of what’s happening. So given these conditions, what’s the best way to address your concerns regarding increasing Chinese influence over Aus?

Jake Woodhouse 1mo ago

First, just be aware of it. Then figure out a system to start protecting