I think your analysis is very good, except one point maybe. I think Bitcoin has already gone to far into the bad direction and a lot of OGs have walked away from it because of that. That's probably one of the reasons why the Monero community is what it is, a lot of OGs just end up there. Monero is not a fork of the BTC codebase but it basically forked the idea and continued refining it over time.

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'gone too far' in what ways?