We actually had a Carrington event last year, which was the May flare of 2024. It had the exact same sunspot as the Carrington event, and guess what... our grid was fine then.
Also, one of these events will happen every 50 or so years in conjunction to a solar eclipse, like the one we had in April of last year in America (which thankfully, I did NOT watch).
Source?
Look at a picture of the May sunspot from 2024 and compare it to the sunspot found in the Carrington observations. These are the exact same. A Carrington event will occur every 50 years in conjunction with a solar eclipse, as I had said.
Proof is here: https://cosmoquest.org/x/evsn/2024/05/22/closer-look-the-2024-carrington-event/
Not convincing on either point
This is not how sun spots work. You can't compare visuals. Magnetic complexity is most important along with size of the CME or flare and the "directness" of the event towards Earth.
This also completely ignores the severity of the flare. The Carrington flare was likely an X60+ event as best we can tell. May 2024 didn't even reach X10.
