Replying to Avatar FTB

I do believe we have entered the so called suddenly phase. What’s changed, well believe it or not, it’s not the ETF’s, or the options on top of them. It’s not the red wave, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, or the supposed nation state announcement happening at the Bitcoin Mena conference. All of that is insanely bullish and absolutely fuel on the fire. But we’re in the suddenly phase because of MicroStrategy.

If you’ve been following $MSTR as closely as I and others in the MSTR True North community have this won’t be news to you, but I know many of my humble sat stacking pleb, freak, and dirtbag friends don’t realize that the MicroStrategy strategy has evolved and Saylor has pushed the pedal straight through the floorboard. The past 4 years he’s been building a flywheel, and now it’s finally spinning.

If you want a full breakdown I can’t recommend listening to Saylor’s presentation during the most recent earnings call enough, he put all the cards on the table. Laid bare everything (and more) that the MSTR community had pieced together over the past months.

I’ll try and keep it simple, but the 21/21 plan was the starting gun, it was the announcement that there were no longer any training wheels on and that the flywheel was spinning up. Since then the company has issued 7% of the weekly trading volume via ATM offerings each week. The more liquidity the stock is trading + the more the stock goes up = the more $ that 7% has gotten them = the larger their bitcoin purchases have been. Now this has only happened for two weeks so far, but this past week they were the most liquid stock in the entire stock market. We’ll find out likely on Monday or Tuesday if he’s made it 3 in a row. My guess is it’s highly likely and if so we’ll see a ~100,000 bitcoin buy probably announced on Monday morning. 70 billion funded from ATM sales and 30 billion from convertible debt. It could be 200,000 next week and 400,000 the week after that. Higher stock price = more liquidity = more ATM sales = more bitcoin = higher stock price = more liquidity….get it? There are not nearly enough bitcoin available below $100k to keep this up. Things are accelerating extremely rapidly. This supposed sell wall is an ant hill in the face of the kind of buying MSTR is doing.

This is the main gist of the story but if you’d like to dive deeper there’s plenty more to it. Upcoming index inclusions (nitrous in the flywheels engine), convertible debt, other future debt instruments. It all points to an undeniable reality. MicroStrategy is now single handedly forcing the suddenly phase (aka hyperbitcoinization) to begin. Add on all of the other massively bullish catalysts on the horizon and it’s quite clear, DON’T SELL YOUR BITCOIN!

I love that Nostr posts can't be deleted.

So that utterly delusional and reckless posts like this, stay ingrained in history forever. So they can receive the rightful blowback they deserve.

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Which part do you believe to be delusional?

That this "flywheel" is reliant on convertible notes paying 0% interest on a 55% conversion rate.

Who in their right mind would buy a confusion bond with no interest on the debt.

And an option to buy MSTR 55% HIGHER than today's price?

If one believes in MSTR, just buy the stock now, for a guaranteed 55% cheaper. Or better yet, if one believes in Bitcoin, just buy Bitcoin, not MSTR.

Not a single MSTR comment considers the MSTR implications when (not if) Bitcoin price goes down and the whole thing unwinds.

Wow you’re clueless dude. First of all if you read my post the flywheel depends on ATM issuance far more than the convertible bonds. Second, none of the debt is encumbered, so there is no unwinding. It’s dated years in the future at very low/no interest which the software business can more than support. If Bitcoin has a 5 year+ bear market and the debt isn’t eligible to be refinanced or converted into shares than there could conceivably be a scenario where they are forced to sell some BTC to pay back some debt. This is priced in to the stock right now buddy! Because it has a near zero percent chance of ever happening! Finally the market for their convertible bonds is huge if you actually take some time to learn about them. They’re the best performing bonds in the world and bond funds are desperate for yield. Can’t wait for your brain to melt when they issue a negatively yielding bond sometime soon! Market wants their debt so bad they’ll pay Saylor to let them have the privilege of giving him money! Mark my words.

It's Hunt Brothers 2.0 with a fling of Enron. It ends the exact same way.

Put your money where your mouth is. Short it and post your portfolio. If you can’t do that your commentary is worth less than a shit stained dollar bill.

I'll happily short it when the time is right.

Funny how now you take an individual investor stance. All while after inducing a bunch of plebs into a debt-laden manic play that they don't understand.

And when they lose their shirts, I'll come right back here and point those fingers at you for your role in it.

Wow, you’re a piece of work dude. I never told anyone to invest in MSTR. I merely explained (apparently over your head) that they are operating at a much faster and accelerating pace than they have over the last 4 years. And that they’re single handedly going to push the Bitcoin price quite a bit higher if they continue.

But as I said, since you’re not short your opinion is meaningless drivel, and you’re not worth my time. Post your short when you put it on and I’ll happily talk to you again, until then fuck off.

Watch he's gonna short it from 10k down to 5k and claim to be right.