Just sharing in case anyone is wondering about the real estate market and/or has any insights. We've been searching for a house for 6-12 months. We don't feel it's a particularly good time but for some reasons of getting family closer we are doing this.

Houses we are finding on the market:

-been there a while with fundamental flaws, price dropping at a steady rate but well over what they are worth

-been there for a while with no flaws, obvious recent flip with a really high price listing, these disappear when they reach reasonable prices but you're stuck with a low heart flip/renovation

-actually good houses that are move in ready, these tend to fly off the market at a premium

-houses with renovation potential, also fly off the market and still expensive

Bidding and finances:

-we have made three bids, lost on all of them usually to cash offers with 0 due dilligence so be prepared to move fast

-rates have come down lately and are down to 6.5% from a high of over 8% for good credit scores

Summary:

There are plenty of buyers but very low quality houses/inventory available. The market is flying for a good house so if you seen one you like you have to commit.

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Discussion

I've had a similar experience. A very hopeless feeling.

A good way to describe the feelings that go with it 😂

Why don't you build a house

Just be a house.

Supply is extremely constrained right now in all major markets in the U.S. due to “owners” having locked in very low rates pre 2022.

When rates drop in 2024 I would expect to still see supply constrained as market rate for mortgages will still be well above what most pre-2022 home “owners” are locked in at.

It doesn’t make sense for someone to sell their house when they have a mortgage at 2.75% and have to re-enter the market at 5-6%.

I do expect to see an uptick in buy pressure when rates drop. There is ≈6 trillion in cash sitting in money market funds in aggregate right now. A lot of people are waiting for rates to drop (even a little) to dump their savings into a down payment.

I personally think that real estate continues its bull market through 2030 and the average cost of single family home in major markets will be well over a million usd cuck bucks within 5 years.