🧮 What gets measured gets managed.

But in FIRE & Bitcoin, what you measure—and how—can be the difference between freedom and frustration.

Here's how to run the numbers without letting them run you 🧵

If your goal is financial independence, how do you know you’re getting closer?

You have to track something. But not everything.

Without meaningful feedback, you’re just flying blind.

FIRE = having enough compounding assets to cover your life without working.

That requires knowing:

💸 What you spend

📈 What your portfolio is worth

Only then can you chart a clear path to freedom.

I run my numbers over coffee most mornings.

No apps. No budgeting down to the penny.

Just a simple spreadsheet that tracks:

💵 Cash in & out

📈 Portfolio value

💸 Trailing 12-month expenses

🎯 FIRE target using the 4% rule

10 minutes. Huge clarity.

Why not track every detail? Because the Pareto Principle applies here...

A few key inputs drive almost all the progress.

The rest is noise.

And worse: it can become spreadsheet theater.

Bitcoiners do the same. We love data.

We obsess over:

🔸Exchange balances

🔸Hash rates

🔸MVRV

🔸On-chain flows

But most of it offers zero edge.

It's comfort theater—metrics to soothe uncertainty.

Here’s the trap:

📉 Mistaking information for insight

📊 Mistaking activity for progress

🛑 Mistaking measurement for mastery

Tracking numbers should be a tool, not a crutch.

Run the numbers to:

✔️ Gain clarity

✔️ Make better decisions

✔️ Spot inefficiencies

✔️ Stay honest

Not to feel falsely in control.

FIRE + bitcoin = radical transparency

Both demand:

⏳ Long-term thinking

💪 Discipline

🧘 Comfort with uncertainty

Don’t waste that gift by measuring the wrong things.

📩 Read the full issue: “Run the Numbers: What Gets Measured Gets Managed”

FIRE BTC 32 https://firebtc.substack.com/p/run-the-numbers

🧭 Direction over perfection.

Track what matters. Ignore the noise.