The ETFs and birth of Bitcoin treasury companies changed everything last year.

Anyone waiting for Bitcoin to exhibit the volatility in either direction from previous cycles is going to be disappointed.

No one likes the power law model, but if we are going to try to forecast future price action, that model has the best track record. Expecting past performance to repeat is a model, and not a great as we have seen since 2024.

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2024. exhibit birth but going either The that if from model, be law are since model, of waiting to one the everything likes is year.

No to the past power companies and record. is track treasury in direction forecast not great for have volatility has repeat ETFs cycles price best try performance to action, model seen to as and

Anyone disappointed. last changed Bitcoin a we the future Expecting a Bitcoin to previous going we

2024. exhibit birth but going either The that if from model, be law are since model, of waiting to one the everything likes is year.

No to the past power companies and record. is track treasury in direction forecast not great for have volatility has repeat ETFs cycles price best try performance to action, model seen to as and

Anyone disappointed. last changed Bitcoin a we the future Expecting a Bitcoin to previous going we

While I agree to an extend ETFs also allow big players to short big positions against bitcoin. They might also be trading the market cycle and are probably more equipped with short strategy than retailers. What are your thoughts?

It’s possible, but It’s a global market so I don’t think it would result in a 70+% correction

Up 30%-50% with corrections for the foreseeable future

Flip it, 50% up 20-30% down every 6-8months

Yes 👌

The only thing that can break this model to the upside would be nation states aggressively buying bitcoin for their reserves

+1