Exactly.
Russia to do all this needs tremendous resources, some internal unity and also overpower the many countries.
EU on the other hand just can keep doing what is doing using well established system.
So yeah, I fear in short/medium term EU more.
Discussion
I don't buy the "clay feet" argument. Everyone claimed Russia was overstretched and heading for collapse just days or max weeks after the invasion began—yet here we are.
Russia doesn't need massive military power to destabilize Europe. It simply needs to amplify the already present tensions and divisions. How difficult is it to still push the Green Deal? Or remind second-generation immigrants in France about Libya and Mali? Or convince eastern Germans they're second-class citizens, unfairly sidelined as AfD remains isolated behind a cordon sanitaire? How much does the UK need to implode on its own?
Once internal turmoil consumes Europe, who will have attention or energy left for the Baltics? Who will listen to Poland's concerns or watch election results in Slovakia?
Unless the EU drastically changes course—something I don't foresee—I believe it's doomed to endless meetings, empty resolutions, bureaucracy, and economic stagnation or worse.
But to suggest we would be better under Russian influence is utterly absurd. After all, how well did that work out the last time we were within Russia's sphere of influence?
The thing is that EU can only create a new regulation to forbid russian tanks in our territories.
almost nobody will actually take a gun and defend ourselves. That's what we are. And it's not a bad thing.
We will fight them later. We will be ungovernable. And they will leave. again.
my preference however is to shoot every fcking invading solider on sight with my ar-15.
So, we're fucked anyway
the only difference is whether it's anal or painal
If you look at this strictly as a binary issue, then yes—we're fucked, and we always have been. But it's not purely binary, and I agree with nostr:nprofile1qqsgvvc88wzk0k5h45gelmwew9s4f23gxg6vhd7j34gnrk4qwlgu77spzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5hsz9mhwden5te0wfjkccte9ehx7um5wghxyctwvshsz9thwden5te0wfjkccte9ehx7um5wghxyee00as4el: our position is far more nuanced than that.
But we ARE within Russian sphere of influence. Keeping Europe as-is is one of the strongest means of continuing Cold War. Our top politicians are selected and financed by both sides precisely for keeping Europe unable to do anything. Thinking of EU as sovereign is naïve and almost childish. Please bring back the 1990s, being the hell they were on many fronts, they were also the only time in past century, where anything meaningful could have actually happened.
Pay most of your tribute/cut to Loydds of London ect., for goods via West European ports,
Or
Pay tribute to those managing alternative routes.
Pay to Caesar what is Caesar's