it’s a great pub scene

"Bitcoin's immune to bullshit. If you think they (the B foundation) could be a threat to Bitcoin then you have very low thoughts of Bitcoin to begin with. I don't think that 12 people creating a foundation becomes a threat to Bitcoin."

-@`ODELL` on nostr:nprofile1qyv8wumn8ghj7urjv4kkjatd9ec8y6tdv9kzumn9wsq3kamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwvf5hgcm0d9h8qctjdvhxxmmdqqs879mhq6kkuzh2wk57xdzanl76uem8d7hlyjd7v4a4jcm4u88d8ygjaraye 9/25/2018

lets play a game

guess the usd bitcoin price exactly a month from now

sep 26th 2025 - 0414 UTC

closest guess will be zapped 5555 sats

only guesses made within the next 24 hours qualify

(if i think you are a bot you are disqualified)

Bitcoin wealth levels and primary focus:

Stage 1: You have less than $1 million worth of BTC

Primary focus: Capital Accumulation

Get to $1 million worth of BTC as quickly as you can.

Today that's 8.69 BTC.

Soon it will be 6.15 BTC.

Then 1 BTC.

Stay laser-focused on your business until you bank your first 7 figures.

Do not waste your finite time and attention thinking about trading in and out of assets at this level.

You should be stack-only.

Focus on being useful to others like the robots are coming for your job.

Because they are.

Don't think the path you're on will get you where you need to go?

Then change your path.

Channel your efforts into opportunities with uncapped upside and use various forms of leverage (personal brand, AI tools, code, relationships) for non-linear growth.

Just remember: Working harder isn't the answer. You can accelerate your capital accumulation if you work smart.

Just make sure your upside isn't capped.

One unit of input should lead to multiple units of output.

And your work should ideally compound like your assets.

Where to start?

Helping other people make more money in their business is a good rule of thumb.

E.g. AI is a new tool that few people know how to use effectively.

So help them leverage AI in their business.

There's a million niches within that one obvious idea.

You can figure it out and make anything happen.

If you want to.

Stage 2: You have between $1-$5 million worth of BTC.

Primary focus: Capital Allocation & Preservation

At this point you should increasingly focus on your own investor psychology, mindset, and risk management.

You have some momentum at this stage.

Keep it rolling.

Keep stacking Bitcoin and milking your personal cashflow.

But realize that you're closing in on escape velocity.

And your main job is to not screw it up.

BTC's 40-50% CAGR means you're looking at adding $400-$500K to your net worth on autopilot.

When taking taxes into consideration, that's like earning close to $1 million per year in income and saving all your after tax income.

Something that very few people ever manage to do.

This is the point where your BTC starts to make money faster than you likely can through your own effort.

Which means you should shift a portion of your time into mastering your investing psychology.

You need to be mentally prepared for likely market scenarios.

You need to have a plan.

You need to know yourself, and know how you'll react when volatility strikes.

Do you need a cash pile that helps you sleep at night?

How long of a runway do you need to not panic sell the next dip?

These are questions you must address.

You're on your way to generational wealth.

And you cannot afford to screw up at this stage.

Stage 3: >$5 million in BTC. Escape velocity.

Focus on Time Allocation.

Many people in the fiat world don't see $5 million as "enough" to retire.

But that's because inflation is usually outpacing the returns of their "safe" investment portfolio.

But if you have $5 million in BTC, you're adding ~$2 million to your net worth each year, and it's compounding (as long as you have a long time horizon).

You can spend $20K-$25K a month and still watch your wealth accelerate.

At this point, you should take a minute to recognize that the future is uncertain.

AI and robotics will soon change everything as we know it.

And you will never have as much time as you do now.

At this point, you need to be deliberate with how you allocate your time.

Imagine you only had 5 years left to live; would you be spending your days as you are now?

What would you change?

You've essentially solved the money problem.

Now your focus should be on how to live well in a way that doesn't require extreme extravagance.

That way when you get to $100 million net worth in the next decade you know how to enjoy your good fortune without relying on ever more money to do so.

Find activities that you enjoy and that you can compound over the long-term.

Do things that make you feel alive and don't lead to a "hangover" later.

Prioritize your health and family.

Congratulations, you've won the money game.

And your reward is that now you get to pick a new game to play.

Choose your next adventure wisely.

Having a mental model of the world that is 20 or 30 years out of date is one of the worst things for your overall quality of life and safety.

Yet I’d estimate 90% of the people I meet fall into that category.

Yeah must’ve been a new BIP I didn’t read!!

Lmfao

It would not surprise me to see the top for this cycle come in Q1 or even Q2 of 2026

30YR may be even more concerning, it's pushing the highest yield we've seen in the last 5 years. 10YR has another quarter point to do the same. This 5% level has been the "OH SHIT, somebody get on TV and say something" level for the government talking heads.

BEWARE OF NEW BITCOIN TREASURY PUMP & DUMP “mergers”

The bitcoin treasury companies being spun up today are pretty glaringly for insiders in the know who benefit on pre-market pumps (like Bailey with $KDLY…whereas KDLY will only own 1.2% of the new Nakamoto company, even though Bailey told people to buy that ticker pre-merge 🙄), and these joint merger companies that benefit massively — again for their own insiders.

I’d still be super incredible cautious, and trust minimal for each one that comes up. $MSTR is the goat in terms of this strategy, and it’s pretty locked down and clean. $SMLR is right up there too.

The others? Idk…

Best to just stay humble and stack sats that *you* control.

it is has come to my attention that some users find my caps to be aggressive and disturbing

for the good of the protocol I will be reducing caps usage going forward

Been messing with Alby hub- looks like I may not have nailed the set up like I thought. I’ll keep trying!

Aye! Mission accomplished. Great to meet a couple bitcoiners IRL. Cheers guys!

#nostr help me find tuckedito! Had a great conversation with @curiouspour at our local joint. Want to support a true bitcoiner! #V4V

@cornman ???

Yes, still testing, haven't released it yet.

GM, Nostr! How about tracking the S2F model in real-time along with the model prediction? Coming soon to your friendly dashboard, nostr:npub1gkkahxwca30rf2td22u9p3jnmlh79dylgmm2et0kykftle6tdcysj4zden 🧡 🤙

Primal is literally worse than X

Why?

Primal’s bitcoin wallet is powered by strike.

Strike is a KYC wallet.

Congratulations you linked your identity and lightning wallet to your npub

At least with X your identity is separate from your lightning wallet.

is this the crypto ball?

nostr:note18yzxtqvsuql6u37dzn4lhdzs8fd66scw0sycllg000dr0jd4wsnslwrt4e

My Journey To Bitcoin

I’m 47. Outside of my unrelaized carry in our portfolio companies nearly 90% of my liquid net worth is in BTC (ok maybe 80% BTC and 10% MSTR).

I use to be the poster child for Trad-Fi. Ivy League MBA and trained in Keynesian economics. Worked in Investment Banking at JPMorgan and witnessed the 2008 collapse and effects of money printing first hand.

For the last 7 years I’ve run a lower mid market PE shop and the effects of the monetary policy during the pandemic and the near 600 basis point rate increase in a span of 9 months and the cash impact of that on our levered portfolio companies (yes a few of them failed) was another moment of realization that the system I was trained in just doesn’t work.

Finally decided to humble myself and put in over 300 hours and relearn EVERYTHING I knew about economics and hard money even though it conflicted with everything I learned in my successful 16 year career on Wall Street / Private Equity.

The Result of The Inquiry: Came to a clear realization that Bitcoin is a once in a 1000 year phenomenon and is the Hardest Money ever created. AND even in my best years as an investor I can’t beat Bitcoin’s 4 year average returns. That was humbling.

As they say if you can’t beat em - Join em! I have been fully converted to a BTC Maxi 🫡

Glad to Join The Nostr Community!

Shoutout to nostr:npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l for the inspiration to join 🙏🏼