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What is happening to #Bitcoin?

For days on end, everyone is looking for a “single cause” for Bitcoin’s decline. But let’s accept that this is more than just a news story. This is a “systemic collapse.” In fact, a simultaneous and secondary factor is reinforcing the downward trend.

🔽The narrative that drove Bitcoin to $126,000 is no more!

The price rise from $40,000 to $126,000 was built on a single story:

“The cycle of interest rate cuts + institutional investors entering via ETFs, leading to a bullish trend.”

But now the Federal Reserve has changed its tune a bit, and that was enough to reduce the likelihood of exploitation from 90% to 40%, leaving the real yield at 5%!

That is, the narrative that the market loved is gone.

🔽ETFs that, instead of attracting money, opened the way for institutional investors to leave.

ETFs were supposed to bring smart money into the market. But the moment the macroeconomic conditions changed, the same smart money was withdrawn with just one click.

Over the past few days, more than $1.1 million in capital outflows have been recorded. It cannot be said that it was a professional move, it was completely natural and based on the rebalancing of fund managers.

🔽Long-term holders took their profits!

Those who bought between $40,000 and $80,000 sold 815,000 Bitcoins in the past 30 days. It was not out of fear, but a purely tactical decision:

Why take the risk of volatility when you are in profit by 50-150%?

🔽Last shot: Technical decline + cascade liquidations

When $100,000 was lost, stops were activated. In October and November, more than $20 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated. Several days, $3.2 billion in just one day!

In fact, the market entered a “self-reinforcing loop.”

⚠️But the most important fact: there is no

Let’s be honest:

🔻Institutionals are reducing.

🔻Long-term holders are waiting for lower prices.

🔻Retail investors are really scared.

🔻And new downloads are not coming in until the leverage is completely eliminated.

✔️The market needs to reach a level where we can clearly see the leverage being cleared or de-leveraging. Long-term holders will start accumulating again and will really be convinced that Bitcoin has value.

Let’s put it this way: Now the market needs to adjust to reality:

High yields, strong dollar, no interest rate cuts.

Wait for new policies and strategies.

Welcome Friend to Nostr ⚡️

Dmitry is ex Pro BBC photojournalist 📸, storyteller of exile, and author of three gems 📚:

Under the Asian Sun, Once Upon a Time in Portugal, and Clochard.

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Hacia donde va Venezuela?

El manifiesto libertad lo expone al detalle, lo que somos y el modelo de país al que aspiramos!

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Full Manifiesto 👀 👇 🇻🇪

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