**RT @RichmanRonald:**
Excited to announce that the Global Uncertainty Reading Group will host a talk on "An Introduction to Maximum Entropy Methods" by @MarcosCarreira (https://nitter.moomoo.me/MarcosCarreira)!
Date: 20 April at 19:00 GMT
Everyone is welcome!
meetup.com/global-technical-… (https://www.meetup.com/global-technical-incerto-reading-club/events/292929580/?utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=share-btn_savedevents_share_modal&utm_source=twitter)
CC: @nntaleb (https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb)@Sharpe\_Actuary (https://nitter.moomoo.me/Sharpe_Actuary)@MFergal (https://nitter.moomoo.me/MFergal)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/RichmanRonald/status/1647524310083416064#m
Huge.
Daniel Kahneman acknowledging publicly that Prospect Theory does not work under fat tails (or unknown probabilities), hence there is no "bias" in these circumstances.
nitter.moomoo.me/JosephNWalker/status/1647049084166107137#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/JosephNWalker/status/1647049084166107137#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1647217334199656448#m
Lebanon: stop trying to fit the (diverse) population to a \*state\* rather than fit the state to the population.
\[Takht Procustes #BedofProcrustes (https://nitter.moomoo.me/search?q=%23BedofProcrustes), the tragic consequence of naive utopianism.\]
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1647183123648585729#m
A few more hours. 47 days with minimal protein, 54 without meat.
You feel death, mourning during the funeral of Christ, then resurrection and joy.
No religion without skin in the game.
nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1609561094439288835#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1609561094439288835#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1647173273963098112#m
A blessed Good Friday to those who celebrate.
Καλή Μεγάλη Παρασκευή σε όλους!
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646825676886900739#m
Caption (Bloomberg photo):
"You can bullshit up to this level, not an inch more".
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646821771096539136#m
You see Siberia over there? It will be ours, some day, all of it.
nitter.moomoo.me/PriapusIQ/status/1646146052288835589#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/PriapusIQ/status/1646146052288835589#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646615104245452800#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
The solution above is for k=860 (not \\infty), but this is a nice side effect.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646583866453291009#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
Hint: G\[\\infty\] is Catalan's constant.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646551960902828035#m
No solution yet
nitter.moomoo.me/diegorattaggi/status/1641034239901675520#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/diegorattaggi/status/1641034239901675520#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646550938788691971#m
Twitter improvement action.
I am blocking all present and future followers of this fellow, thanks to his attempt to interact with one of the race-conspiracy mongers who tried to troll me.
Twitter works well: organic filtering >>> state censorship.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646229443826810880#m
You know federalism (partition) is on the way when people in the bullshit vending professions (journos, think tank verbalists, political commentators, motivational utopianists) get active in trying to kill the idea showing it makes no sense.
nitter.moomoo.me/BeirutCalling/status/1645793635789856772#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/BeirutCalling/status/1645793635789856772#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646219144205856768#m
Day 44 of lent. Only plant food (almost). No religion without skin in the game.
nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1609561094439288835#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1609561094439288835#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646162202708135940#m
The blood of Adonis, who will be resurrected later. He died not far from here; one of the rivers must be carrying his blood.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646081045404557312#m
What characterizes the conspiracy/antivaxx/Jan6 cluster is a natural ability to BS to equally ignorant followers.
@Normonics (https://nitter.moomoo.me/normonics) hides his middle school math knowledge w/more BS.
There is no "memory" and no "systems" in his example. Nor does he know what "stationary" means.
(cont)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646068247156883459#m
**RT @nntaleb:**
NOTICE: All present and future followers of this account will be blocked.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646039603378372609#m
That's the problem I tried to solve with my "Maximum Ignorance Probability".
fooledbyrandomness.com/blog/… (https://fooledbyrandomness.com/blog/index.php/2021/09/07/estimating-medical-error-rate-an-intuitive-max-entropy-method/)
nitter.moomoo.me/ccanonne\_/status/1645987259672588288#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/ccanonne_/status/1645987259672588288#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1646025962088198144#m
This friend of mine in #Lebanon (https://nitter.moomoo.me/search?q=%23Lebanon) is involved in politics. One single piece of advice: you will never do anything that makes it to history books if you care about your reputation.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645737676291571714#m
No piece in history has been more influential in fighting racism, eugenism, & racial mandarinism than the below. I plan to expand and publish it somewhere.
\-\-\-
NYT and UN style moralizing does not work. You fight bad statistics w/rigorous probability.
medium.com/incerto/iq-is-lar… (https://medium.com/incerto/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645735174410231809#m