You can watch $MSTR / Saylor moves to understand how Bitcoin demand is growing. You don't have to buy his stock or his bonds. It is one data point related to the market of Bitcoin's supply and demand.

$BTC is about supply and demand. $MSTR is raising fiat to convert into Bitcoin. You can ignore what $MSTR and MetaPlanet and $SMLR and $MARA and the ETF's and others are doing to increase Bitcoin demand, but that won't make it go away.

Asking Grok 3 about $BTC morning Price Suppression. #bitcoin

Alright, let’s dive deeper into whether Bitcoin (BTC) prices are being suppressed between 6:00 AM and 8:00 AM Central Standard Time (CST) on weekdays, focusing on the period of January 1 to February 20, 2025. Since you’ve asked me to dig deeper into this specific timeframe, I’ll simulate an analysis using plausible assumptions based on historical patterns, market dynamics, and the tools at my disposal (e.g., X sentiment, web insights, and logical extrapolation). I can’t access real-time hourly data post-February 20, 2025, so I’ll construct a detailed hypothesis for that 6–8 AM CST window up to today, grounded in what’s known about Bitcoin’s behavior as of my last update.

Step 1: Define the Scope

Time Window: 6:00 AM–8:00 AM CST = 12:00 PM–2:00 PM UTC (CST is UTC-6 during standard time, which applies in January–February).

Period: January 1, 2025, to February 20, 2025 (50 days, ~36 weekdays excluding holidays like MLK Day on January 20).

Goal: Identify if BTC prices consistently drop or stagnate during this window, suggesting suppression, compared to adjacent hours.

Step 2: Simulate a Dataset

To test this, I’ll assume a simplified hourly BTC/USD dataset for January–February 2025, based on trends up to February 20, 2025. Bitcoin was trading around $94,000–$96,000 in mid-January after peaking at $108,268 in December 2024, per historical reports. Let’s hypothesize:

Baseline Price: BTC starts January at $95,000, fluctuates between $90,000–$100,000, and sits at $96,240 on February 20 (aligned with CoinMarketCap’s last known value).

Daily Volatility: Typical intraday swings of 1–3%, with occasional 5% moves on news or whale activity.

Overnight Trend (12 AM–6 AM CST): Often bullish due to Asian markets or U.S. retail trading post-midnight.

6–8 AM CST Hypothesis: Prices dip or flatline as U.S. pre-market activity begins.

Sample daily pattern (hypothetical, weekday average):

12:00 AM CST: $95,000

6:00 AM CST: $95,950 (+1%)

7:00 AM CST: $95,471 (-0.5%)

8:00 AM CST: $95,234 (-0.25%)

12:00 PM CST: $96,187 (+1%)

Step 3: Analyze Price Movement

For 36 weekdays:

Overnight (12 AM–6 AM CST): Assume BTC rises +0.75% on average (e.g., $95,000 to $95,712), reflecting global 24/7 trading momentum.

6–8 AM CST: Test two scenarios:

Suppression Case: Price drops -0.5% (e.g., $95,712 to $95,234), a net -1.25% reversal from the overnight gain.

Neutral Case: Price holds flat or rises slightly (+0.2%, e.g., $95,712 to $95,904).

Post-8 AM CST: Assume recovery or continuation (+1% by noon CST).

Suppression Scenario (36 days):

Total 6–8 AM CST change: -0.5% × 36 = -18% cumulative (spread over days, ≈ -0.5% daily average).

Contrast: Overnight +27% (0.75% × 36), later morning +36% (1% × 36).

Result: Consistent morning dips erase ~2/3 of overnight gains, suggesting deliberate pressure.

Neutral Scenario:

Total 6–8 AM CST change: +0.2% × 36 = +7.2%.

Cumulative trend remains upward, no suppression signal.

Step 4: Volume and Market Dynamics

Volume Spike: If suppression occurs, expect a 20–50% increase in sell volume at 6 AM CST vs. overnight (e.g., 500 BTC/hour overnight vs. 700–1,000 BTC/hour at 6–8 AM). This could reflect U.S.-based algos or whales selling into thin liquidity.

CME Futures: Trading resumes at 5:00 PM CST the prior day, so 6–8 AM CST is active. Short positions opened here could depress spot prices on exchanges like Coinbase.

X Sentiment: Posts on X around February 19, 2025, claim BTC gets “manipulated at market open” (e.g., 8:30 AM CST), but some might misattribute 6–8 AM dips to this. A user might tweet, “BTC always tanks at 6 AM CST—futures shenanigans.”

Step 5: Test Against Known Trends

January–February 2025 Context: BTC likely saw choppy consolidation post-$100K hype, with ETF inflows (e.g., $62.9B in 30 days reported late 2024) slowing. U.S. pre-market (6–8 AM CST) could be a profit-taking zone for institutions.

Historical Analog: In 2021, BTC often dipped during U.S. morning hours after Asian rallies, sometimes linked to futures expirations. If this repeated in 2025, 6–8 AM CST might show similar pressure.

Statistical Check: If 70% of weekdays (25/36) show a negative or flat 6–8 AM CST vs. a positive overnight, suppression’s plausible (binomial probability <5% for random chance).

Step 6: Conclusion for Jan 1–Feb 20, 2025

Likely Finding: BTC prices might drop -0.3% to -0.7% on average during 6–8 AM CST (e.g., $95,712 to $95,234), reversing half the overnight +0.75%. Volume spikes 30% with sell-side bias.

Interpretation: This suggests mild suppression—possibly U.S. traders shorting futures or dumping spot BTC pre-market. Not a massive conspiracy, but a recurring pattern tied to time zone shifts and liquidity.

Caveats: Random news (e.g., CPI data at 7:30 AM CST) or whale trades could mimic suppression. Without exact data, it’s a strong hypothesis, not proof.

How I’d Verify (If I Could)

Pull hourly BTC/USD from TradingView for 12:00 PM–2:00 PM UTC, Jan 1–Feb 20.

Cross-check volume on CryptoQuant for sell-side spikes.

Scan X posts at 6–8 AM CST for real-time trader reactions.

So, yes, BTC could be suppressed in that window—think subtle, tactical selling rather than a grand scheme. Want me to tweak the simulation or focus on a specific week?

$2 billion here, $2 billion there...

Eventually it gets converted into quite the Satoshi Stash!

#bitcoin $MSTR #strategy

https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-pricing-of-convertible-senior-notes_02-20-2025

Not a fan of 29 degree weather.

Can we get some heat around here?

This Freestyle Rap is so impressive.

I don't even think AI could make this stuff up this fast.

https://x.com/harrymack/status/1892257859557077238

Finally went to see a movie at the theater 🎭 last night. It has been a while…

Saw Mel Gibson’s Flight ✈️ Risk.

I liked it.

My super power is halting Stocks from going up

by Buying Shares!

Are we finally seeing some apple phone price deflation?

#bitcoin

Asking Grok about Apple announcement expectations...

Apple is expected to announce several new products today:

iPhone SE 4 (or iPhone 16E): This is anticipated to be a significant update, featuring a new design, possibly with a larger display, USB-C port, and Apple Intelligence support.

MacBook Air M4: Updates to the MacBook Air are expected, potentially including the new M4 chip.

iPad 11th Generation: A new entry-level iPad might be introduced, possibly with an updated chip like the A17 Pro.

HomePod with a Screen: There's speculation about a new HomePod variant that includes a screen, aimed at enhancing its smart home hub capabilities.

These expectations are based on recent leaks, rumors, and announcements from Apple, including teasers from CEO Tim Cook suggesting a significant product launch.

Did you get some Cheap Sats today? I think we bought at the possible highest $BTC daily price today. Fun!

Strategy needs all your fiat.

Please cough up $2 billion.

#bitcoin $MSTR

https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-proposed-private-offering-of-2b-of-convertible-senior-notes_02-18-2025

Is there Gold in there?

https://x.com/JoshuaDone/status/1891640830961602560

The media is straight up evil.

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1891884301643333872

Saylor and Strategy took another week off. #bitcoin

https://x.com/saylor/status/1891837982513995850

We bought the oldest son a dehydrator for his new condo. He’s now making beef 🥩 jerky. 🐂

Awesome aviation related video from 1985!

https://x.com/DudespostingWs/status/1891227747424362866

No Sunday Dot Talk from Saylor

Has to be President's Day Related??? $MSTR #bitcoin

We are still working on Apple MacBook Air's with the new chips.

Will that happen this week?

GM Bitcoin Nostr

Reminder…

Bitcoin has no President!