After 2036 the Bitcoin block reward will no longer play a role, the only thing that counts then is vbyte/sat fees.

With that information on mind we can do a simple calculation:

300 EH/s currently that support the network to fight for the approx. 6.4BTC.

so 300 EH / 6.4 BTC == 46.875 EH/BTC

In 2036 assuming the same distribution (mining pools and so)

300 EH / 0.4 BTC == 750.0 EH/BTC

So mining now till 2036 is ultra profitable if you do not need to sell BTC and can keep all more than 0.4 BTC per block you mine.

If you are a miner and you have to sell more than (6.4 BTC - 0.4BTC=) 6 BTC it means your BTC holdings decrease over time and you are already mining at a loss in satoshi terms. (This 6 BTC include all HW, maintenance, defects, electricity, infra, people, salarys, insurance , new miners, new hardware, advancements, etc.).

Every halving will make it much more (2x ) difficult for you to keep up and keep a positive mining to satoshi balance...

So in 2024 this will even go lower, meaning your budget per block mined has a maximum of 2.8 BTC in total cost!

So in my view BTC mining will without increase in efficiency plato out after 2026 ... At this point Miners are in a bubble territory (in satoshi terms) and have to sell more than they get...

All this leave anything related to USD out... This is purely based on mining and keeping as many sats as possible. None of this big mining pools will be able to compete with private small miners that use completely free electricity where ever they get that.

Curious question, shouldnt it be 50% less so 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000172% because of the possibility of a collision (another key that works for the same hash, gives out the same hash?) How can we estimate the probability to find a colission?

Thanks , as bitcoin is sha256(sha256(data)) wouldnt you need 2 cores in series?

also i was asking about how many transistors are required to create a single sha256 core... do you maybe know the answer?

to create a Bitccoin asic, what is the minimum ammount of transistors required ? Does anyone know that?

again script removed.... fuck tradingview... here is the script. https://gist.github.com/snapo/6f599a24a164238b041a4ece3f36d69e

Tradingview deleted my script because it contained my npub NOSTR address and calls it advertisement... lol

Here is the new one/re-publish

https://www.tradingview.com/script/mRXIPQ8I-SatDrainageSystem/

i dont take it :-) leaving it for some one else to take and distribute again...

mp3 because i dont like to give youtube even 1 cent in revenue...

If anyone wants my TradingView indicator...

Its now public :-)

https://www.tradingview.com/script/4ymbNTQz-SatDrainageSystem/

Have fun with whatever you do with it

https://nostr.build/av/nostr.build_7d0585d6a153e2ea8dec0c797e13ef68bcb57cba17a8b8e413e4906c52177c06.mp4

How do you know what is propaganda? There is no way for normis like us to verify it.

But not letting russia investigate its own pipeline.... is a huge red flag already from the start.

politician that thanks the us for blowing up nordstream is another red flag...

also strange fact 99% of conspiracys (what gov calls propaganda / missinformation) becomes true after time.

Do you still believe in santa clause? The US/EU/Nato are the biggest shittholes on earth, there is nothing than lies that come out of those.

Jeah... i wonder the same, i also wonder why they shoot themself always in the foot... is this a politician thing?

https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1633111698608386053

wow realy not bad the self lift :-) but also very thick material... try the same with something very thin like 1mm steel :-)

Yes i was the silver :-) lol

Interesting chart....

Who of you guys/guls also played CSGO? This match was absolutely fun :-)

you have to watch more than 10 seconds....