Avatar
Dan
6ca6ecfd7bee60bdb8a70234593bc8bb798b7763116abfcdcf2db2086638c3ec

2021 I was deep down a daily pomp podcast ritual and broke free

A relentless pursuit of shitposting and memery

Putting a 2.5 yr old and a 6 month old feels like going to war every single night. Is it just me or is this beatdown normal

Makes you think say we crash from 5mil to 4 mil some day. Does the same thing happen. Do we really get bored/annoyed at the price.

The cardboard box filter rig is so bear market of you but I love it

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

One of the crazy things about AI and robotics is that in the year 2025, most people still don't use Roombas or other robotic vacuum cleaners.

They're useful in many contexts, but they're not clearly better across most metrics than a human with a vacuum cleaner yet. They've been out for a very long time, gradually improving. And that's one *very specific* task with pretty clear visualization requirements and floor mobility requirements and pretty low safety thresholds with high repetition levels, and yet that market isn't dominated by robotics yet.

That's an example of why I continue to view white collar computer-work AI as being *way* ahead of in-the-field blue collar robotic AI in terms of competing with human jobs.

The moment where it's a joke to buy a human-powered vacuum instead of a robot vacuum, rather than a debatable trade-off, is kind of the canary in the coal mine moment for consumer robotics. We can't even nail that yet, but once we do, it's kind of a floodgate moment, considering how long that task has been in the works for, and it will probably quickly expand to other areas following that moment.

That's kind of my basic test for robot hype. Yes, they're getting better and better. Yes, they do backflips now. Yes, it's a big deal. But in-the-field blue collar skilled work is a really high bar, and we haven't fully cleared the "vacuum carpeted areas of the same house floor area over and over" stage of that yet.

Everything is kind of hype until that stage is fully breached. Then it's off to the races.

What's your view of that heuristic?

Making complex thoughts simple is your skill

Up candle coming soon Sunday 4pm Asia gonna send it

Replying to Avatar Jeff Booth

GM from beautiful Colombia.

With all the chaos and nonsense going on in the world right now, I wanted to share something that I believe is critical as it relates to what is happening on #bitcoin (the first global free market that can’t be cheated) versus a system of corruption (trying to stop that system) Either 1) through willful intent or 2) lack of knowledge.

(*the majority of people fall into the lack of knowledge group)

According to game theory and playoff matrices: even when there are very high rewards and low punishment (they wouldn’t get caught) approximately 10% of people won’t cheat - no matter what!They place a higher internal value on integrity that overrides external rewards. I’ve seen this number as low as 2.5% and as high as 20%.

Why is that important:

Although everyone wants to see themselves as one of the honest, the math says that between 80 - 97.5% of people will cheat depending on the rewards. Now enter money - the ultimate pot of gold with high rewards and low punishment for cheating because people don’t understand it. Most people will cheat - a mirror of the world we see and have seen in Bitcoin since its inception. Need inflation, bad for environment, drug money, doesn’t scale, crypto, meme coins - the list will go on and on because if people can “get rich at someone else’s expense - most will. Those are simply the numbers and always have been.

In fact, in prior periods of history, the honest were at a massive disadvantage because and would often be killed by the cheaters. Because the integrity was so rare, society would often celebrate these people after their deaths as lessons of what we wanted our higher selves to look like.

#bitcoin has changed the equation. Giving those with integrity the power. Why: because 2.5 - 20% of people that won’t cheat is a massive number - especially if many of those people are decentralized and can’t be “found”. Those are the people who eventually run nodes, contribute their time and energy to keeping #bitcoin decentralized and secure, watch for attack vectors, build value on top of this protocol, call out the cheaters, teach and advocate to help others see it. Those people simply can’t be bought, and more are joining every day.

That decentralized and secure protocol bounded by energy is repricing everyone and everything from the other system and it will continue to do so as that system tries to grapple with: the cheaters no longer make the rules.

It will be chaotic, many more will try to cheat (don’t be afraid to slay your heroes) but in the end…..Satoshi unlocked a way to put the best of us into a protocol that was best for all of us.

What a time to be alive.

Going to read this again often.